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LIVEPERSON INC (LPSN)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 revenue of $60.154M was above the high end of guidance and beat S&P Global consensus by ~$3.0M (+5.3%); S&P “Primary EPS” was a large beat versus consensus, driven by a $27.7M gain on troubled debt restructuring and cost actions, while GAAP diluted EPS was -$2.76 due to share effects and non-GAAP adjustments . Revenue consensus $57.112M*; EPS consensus -$2.30*; S&P Primary EPS actual 2.6611*.
  • Full-year guidance raised: revenue to $235–$240M (+$2.5M at midpoint) and adjusted EBITDA to $7.5–$12.5M (+$8M at midpoint). Q4 revenue guide set at $50.5–$55.5M with adjusted EBITDA of -$0.3–$4.7M .
  • Balance sheet and cost structure transformed: strategic refinancing closed in September (deleverage $226M; $181M debt discount accretive to equity) and Q3 restructuring costs realized, with full OpEx benefits expected in Q4 and 2026 .
  • Commercial traction stabilizing: 28 deals signed (26 expansions/renewals, 2 new logos); ARPC up 6% YoY to $665K; net revenue retention improved sequentially to 80.4%; generative AI now ~20% of conversations .
  • Product and GTM catalysts: launch of Conversation Simulator; live on Google Cloud Marketplace; expanding Google Gemini integrations (Copilot Translate), supporting improved renewals and new upsell opportunities .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Revenue and adjusted EBITDA both exceeded high-end guidance; management attributed revenue upside largely to timing and variable revenue recognition, and EBITDA strength to cost discipline and restructuring execution .
  • Financial foundation strengthened: September refinancing deleveraged by $226M, captured $181M debt discount accretive to equity, and extended maturities to 2029—addressing a key customer hesitation and enabling improved renewal outcomes .
  • Product momentum: Conversation Simulator launched to de-risk GenAI deployments; early customers (e.g., Telstra) using the product; partnership with Google expanding (RCS, Gemini 2.5 Copilot Translate), and listing on Google Cloud Marketplace opening a frictionless channel .

What Went Wrong

  • Top line still declining YoY: Q3 revenue fell 19.0% YoY due to cancellations and downsells; hosted services down 18% YoY; professional services down 23% YoY .
  • Free cash flow remained negative (-$8.9M in Q3) and cash declined to $106.7M; recurring revenue mix remained 92%, reflecting ongoing revenue pressure and cautious services activity .
  • Q4 outlook implies sequential decline vs Q3 as timing benefits reverse; management guided Q4 adjusted EBITDA to $0–$5M and flagged that full cost restructuring benefits begin in Q4 and 2026, highlighting near-term execution risk .

Financial Results

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$64.700 $59.600 $60.154
Net Income ($USD Millions)$(14.133) $(15.710) $8.711
Diluted EPS ($USD)$(0.24) $(0.17) $(2.76)
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$0.167 $2.919 $4.751
Adjusted Operating Income ($USD Millions)$(5.420) $(2.659) $(0.717)
Free Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$(6.855) $(14.812) $(8.898)
Segment RevenueQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Hosted Services ($USD Millions)$55.134 $50.321 $51.175
Professional Services ($USD Millions)$9.566 $9.279 $8.979
Total Revenue ($USD Millions)$64.700 $59.600 $60.154
KPIsQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
TTM ARPC ($USD)$640,000 $655,000 $665,000
Recurring Revenue (% of total)93% 92% 92%
Total Deals (count)50 38 28
Net Revenue Retention (%)80% 78% 80.4%
Remaining Performance Obligations ($USD Millions)$221 $197 $182
U.S. Revenue ($USD Millions)$36.7 $37.0
International Revenue ($USD Millions)$22.9 $23.2
Cash & Cash Equivalents ($USD Millions)$176.254 $161.963 $106.661
Q3 2025 vs S&P Global ConsensusConsensusActualSurprise
Revenue ($USD Millions)$57.112*$60.154 +$3.042 (+5.3%)*
Primary EPS ($USD)$(2.30)*$2.6611*+$4.9611*

Values with asterisks were retrieved from S&P Global. Consensus and surprise values reflect S&P Global methodologies and may differ from GAAP/non-GAAP reporting. The GAAP diluted EPS in Q3 was -$2.76 due to share count and non-recurring items; S&P “Primary EPS” reflects normalized definitions .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue ($USD Millions)FY 2025$230–$240 $235–$240 Raised
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)FY 2025$(3)–$7 $7.5–$12.5 Raised
Revenue ($USD Millions)Q4 2025$50.5–$55.5 New
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)Q4 2025$(0.3)–$4.7 New
Recurring Revenue (% of total)Q4 2025~93% New

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
Debt refinancing / capital structureQ2: announced exchange to deleverage, extend maturities; customer hesitation impacting renewals Refinancing closed; deleveraged $226M; improved renewal tone; runway to 2029 Positive inflection; removes key headwind
Generative AI adoptionQ1: 25% sequential increase; 14% more customers using GenAI ; Q2: 45% sequential increase; ~17% of conversations ~20% of conversations now using GenAI; Gartner recognition; new Copilot Translate Accelerating adoption; external validation
Product innovation (Conversation Simulator)Not yet launched in Q1/Q2Launched; dual human+bot testing; early customers (Telstra, Open University); vendor-agnostic New revenue stream; strong early interest
Partnerships (Google/AWS)Q1: Amazon Connect integration planned; partner attach momentum ; Q2: Google Cloud deepening, Databricks expansion Live on Google Cloud Marketplace; RCS partnership; Gemini 2.5 integration GTM leverage increasing
Commercial momentum / bookingsQ1: deals slipped to Q2, pipeline improving ; Q2: bookings sequentially up 15% but YoY down; NRR 78% Slight sequential bookings increase; NRR 80.4%; 28 deals; improved renewal confidence Stabilizing; early signs of rebuild
Macro/approval processesQ1/Q2: elongated cycles, AI risk/compliance gates Timing/variable revenue recognized in Q3; approval processes persist Persistent headwind; managed timing

Management Commentary

  • CEO on stabilization and innovation: “With our financial foundation stabilized and commercial traction building, we are in a strong position to continue to execute our strategy.”
  • CFO on beat drivers: “Upside... characterized as timing... some deals that would have otherwise taken place in the fourth quarter then now in the third. There's variable revenue... driving the balance of the upside.”
  • CEO on Conversation Simulator differentiation: “No one... addresses both sides... human and bot... an open product... we can test any LLM... continuous improvement and training loop, compliance and governance...”
  • CFO on cost actions: “We should begin to experience the full effects of the cost restructuring during Q4 and for full year 2026.”
  • Refinancing impact: “Materially deleverages the company by $226 million... captures a significant $181 million debt discount... extends... to December 2029.”

Q&A Highlights

  • Upside attribution: Management emphasized timing (Q3 pull-forward from Q4) and variable revenue recognition as primary drivers of the beat .
  • OpEx trajectory: The restructuring executed in Q3 drives the Q4 EBITDA guide beat; full effects flow through Q4 and into 2026 .
  • Competitive landscape for Conversation Simulator: Differentiation in dual human+bot training, open architecture across LLMs and CCaaS, in-workflow training; positions LivePerson uniquely versus point solutions .
  • Renewal dynamics: Refinancing alleviated customer financial stability concerns, converting cancellation/short-term extensions into full renewals in some cases .

Estimates Context

  • Q3 revenue beat: $60.154M actual vs $57.112M consensus*; absolute surprise +$3.042M (+5.3%)* .
  • EPS beat: S&P Primary EPS actual 2.6611* vs -2.30* consensus; GAAP diluted EPS was -$2.76 due to share/effects, while net income swung positive on a $27.7M gain from troubled debt restructuring .
  • Implications: Street models likely raise FY adjusted EBITDA and revenue on improved renewal tone, cost restructuring benefits, and Q4 guide; however, normalize for non-recurring gains when assessing EPS quality . Values with asterisks were retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • The quarter’s beat was largely driven by timing/variable revenue and cost actions; near-term revenue volatility may persist as recognition timing reverses in Q4 .
  • Structural de-risking (deleverage ~$226M, maturities to 2029) removes a key commercial headwind and supports renewal/upsell motion into 2026 .
  • Product-led catalysts (Conversation Simulator, Google Cloud Marketplace, Gemini integrations) expand TAM and create new revenue streams, supporting ARPC growth .
  • Watch cash/FCF trajectory: Q3 FCF remained negative (-$8.9M) and cash declined to $106.7M; management aims for sustainable FCF post-restructuring in 2026 .
  • KPIs stabilizing: NRR improved to 80.4% and ARPC rose to $665K; track RPO ($182M) and recurring mix (92%) for signs of inflection .
  • Guidance raised across FY revenue and adjusted EBITDA; Q4 guide embeds reversal of Q3 timing and continuing cost benefits—focus on execution to deliver the EBITDA range .
  • EPS quality: GAAP net income benefited from a $27.7M restructuring gain; use normalized measures and adjusted EBITDA to assess operating performance .